Sunday, June 11, 2017

Qatar affair II – Realigning realities of Middle Eastern monarchies sucking morality out of Europe

Not the perfect match off. Even though this ongoing delicate situation in the Arabian peninsula is hardly the biggest concern right now. In the south, the war in Yemen continues, cholera is spreading and prospects look grim. Yemen seems to have become Saudi Arabia's equivalent for Soviet campaign in Afghanistan – going awfully wrong whilst costing too much for comfort.

I've been thinking about the motivations behind the latest high tensions with Qatar. As campaigns in Syria are dwindling, the removal of Assad was a failure. We can see the Saudi outreach of foreign policy in the Middle East fail, whereas their grip on global terrorism exports and bribing Western politicians is as strong as ever. Saudis are making a terrible mistake if they think they can force Qatar to join them. If this is merely a ploy to prop up oil prices, they may prolong the inevitable. The Saudi model, as seen in Venezuela with stricken oil revenue, is not viable. Buying high priced assets on foreign soil is not going to cut it. We can witness China being at it, while propping up their home economy with creative bookkeeping and collecting assets abroad. Alas, at least China is dynamic in their view of building infrastructure which will be more concrete than empty paper promises.

Qatar and Iran on friendly terms since Syria plans bust?
Qatar is in many ways similar to Saudi Arabia, but fortunately they have smaller population and therefore more sustainable economy. At the moment, this latest escalation seems to have forced the Qatari to look for new global partners as the bullying neighbor tries to force them to join them. They can trust Turkey, with Muslim brotherhood connections. Iran can use the soft approach as can Russia to appease the situation. US has military base in Qatar and most likely wish that this will be the case in the future although they have many bases in the region.

It is probable that this whole move against terrorism loving Qatar will only embarrass everyone in the conflict. Saudis can afford buying up their way to UN human right council leader seat and women's right council while at it, so buying EU and US politicians to agree with their arguments to confront Qatar, Iran, NATO rogue Turkey and most of BRICS nations won't be an issue. It must be said at this point that for the most part BRICS countries have weakened and that SCO and Silk Road cooperation have strengthened. Countries like Brazil and South African are grimed with political problems that truly affect this partnership.

However the global situation is now more dynamic than ever. The blocks are moving nicely and aligning to accommodate new partnerships. Big alliances are quiet loose and whereas bilateral relationships can work on per issue basis. Monarchies seem not be dynamic enough to brainchild a move to more stable and productive society. We can already witness places like Europe descending back towards feudal society.

Old west in decline & demographic end of the line – Nihilism and solipsism pave way to nonexistence 

In essence, we lack faith. That has become our cultural heritage. The lack of over generations bigger than life tradition. How can the western tradition overcome future obstacles in the now? Old ways of thinking won't suffice. From top to bottom approach will not work anymore. Passive obeisance will not cut it to get handouts from the state. It is more likely that the old power in high places won't see change and more so won't be acknowledging it until it hits them where it hurts. I wonder if the obeisance in exchange of compensation is the reason these wealthy monarchies can lobby their ways into our ways of life.

These are all good questions. Spreading awareness and people putting their skin-in-the-game will be the only change we can hope for. Let's spread the word and reform this shared society of information. Energy is in constant change.

What can we do about it? How can we contribute to a positive change? Politics seems inundated with trivial matters. All I can see is bickering and political deadlocks above which the superstate conducts all the business as usual.

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